Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economy. Show all posts

June 24, 2008

Difficult Economic Times

We are living in very difficult times. Real estate values have dropped, many people have lost their jobs or are making less than before and the cost of living just keeps going up. I see it a lot through my real estate practice since I do a lot of loan works and short sales for clients.

With the pending election and the unprecedented things we have been seeing: gas prices in excess of $4 per gallon, a very weak overseas dollar, a black man and a woman running for President, it got me thinking about where we are as a country and where we might or might not be going.

Recently, I visited a recycling center with my son's cub scout troup. I was fascinated and impressed with what this little town in my area was doing as a community to recycle. I was embrassed that, as an afluent community, my town was doing very little besides having us leave paper and bottles on the curb every two weeks. The recyclers were not only recycling 80 to 90 percent of their garbage, but they were doing it in a manner that raised upwards of $200,000 for a series of 25 charitable organizations and groups.

I think when it comes to recycling and conservation, we are mostly in the clouds and doing community imposed things that we accept on face value. I learned something (or realized something I guess I already new) that day. Our dependence on oil (more particularly foreign oil) goes way beyond automobiles and other gas powered machinery. It goes to the production of plastic, plasma tvs, etc... The gentleman who was giving the kids their tour was a vet - former military man. And he was more than vocal with his thoughts about how we give away jobs and other things to other countries. He grew up in a pro-American, anti-foreign era. But things are different today. In the words of syndicated columnist Thomas Friedman, we live in a flat world, one where we participate globally rather than compete. The sooner we realize this, the easier it will be for all of us and the easier we will be able to help our children prepare for a different world ahead. Our military tour guide was trapped by a belief in xenophobia that has less applicability in today's world.

We must, along with future generations to come, change our use and dependence on oil. Period. It's not a political issue, it's a survival issue. We need to start treating capital resources as precious - you preserve capital; and put income resources that are replenishable to better use. I don't know if plastic is going anywhere, so we have to learn to better recycle it.

I am rambling and getting a little tired as I write and think. I highly recommend you read Thomas Friedman's book, The World is Flat and others like it. It will change the way you see things. Next time: Geocaching!

March 18, 2008

The Fall of Bear Stearns - The Little Guy Gets Slaughtered

With the failure of Bear Stearns, one of this country's oldest financial institutions, things really seem to be going to hell in a hand basket. Ace Greenberg has got to be sick. And, although a lot of analysts believe that BS was the big bubble that came up, I am not sure if we've seen the worst.

It is also getting worse for the homeowners who are in trouble with their loans. I've noticed that banks stay right on schedule with the foreclosure process by sending the file out to their respective law firms, but they are unwilling to put the proper resources toward servicing and answering their borrowers' requests for help. And I am just sick of it. The lenders created a lot of this mess by making all these loans in the first place. And then they just walk away and leave all of us to clean things up. I know of one lender who sold out to a very large wire house. They wire house cut all their retail operations and left 50 employees to service the entire country. Over the past few years, this lender issued billions of dollars of loans. Some people will lose their homes simply because the lender does not have the resources to get back to them quick enough. That is simply unfair.

I ask you to write to your Senators and Congressmen and ask them to investigate this issue. It is a nationwide problem and it's making the crisis much worse. Lenders should be held responsible to service the loans they've put on the books. Not just close up shop and leave the general public in trouble. And all this is not just financially devastating. It is emotionally devastating, destroys marriages, effects people's ability to work and their ability to sleep on night. If a borrower submits a hardship package, along with all requested information, the lender should be barred from taking any foreclosure actions until they've taken steps to address these issues with their borrower. It should be malpractice for an attorney to initiate a foreclosure action until they verify that the lender has responded to the hardship request.

Best way to contact Congress is to visit the congressional website at www.congress.org and enter your home zip code. Tell them a story of someone who can't pay their mortgage, has requested help from their lender and the lender has told them that they can't get back to them for 3 months (if you don't have a story, email me and I'll send you some!). Tell them that these people are facing foreclosure and can't even make partial payments since the lender won't accept their checks. It should be illegal; it certainly is unethical and immoral.

And as we watch our economy falter and possibly head toward some of the most difficult economic times since World War II, it occurs to me: how did we get in this mess in the first place? It is, of course, partially the public's fault. They are not without any blame. But with Wall Street so hungry to purchase loans, thus giving lenders the opportunity to create loans which they could sell almost immediately, you have to place a lot of blame on the system. Most home buyers are unaware of how the system works - they only know one thing: they want to buy and the lender is willing to lend. And their willingness drove prices up. Its all supply and demand. More money available will drive up prices. Now money is less available and prices sink. Simple economics and, as usual, the little guy gets slaughtered. The big lenders are being bailed out, i.e. Bear Stearns. A significant portion of the deal is being guaranteed by the Federal Reserve since they are afraid BS is so large that their ultimate failure will have a terrible impact on the economy. But now the Fed has to divert funds from other uses. The little guy gets slaughtered. Wall Street backs off on buying lenders' paper, waits and then goes back in to buy at pennies on the dollar. The little guy gets slaughtered again.

If you have your own stories, please email me. I'd be happy to pass them along to Congress and the media.